The 2012 lamb market will remain strong despite a slightly larger UK flock and increased availability from New Zealand, but will not reach the heights of 2011, according the latest EBLEX annual outlook.
There was a 1% increase in breeding ewe numbers in 2011 to just under 14.9 million, according to final results from the June survey, and the December survey is expected to show further growth in 2011 and 2012.
“This is anticipated to result in the largest lamb crop since 2008, although still some way short of that peak in production as a result of lower store lamb carryover and mutton levels,” said Debbie Butcher, senior analyst.
“However, it is too early to determine what the impact of the Schmallenberg virus will be on the lamb crop. As an emerging disease everyone is monitoring its effects with concern.”
UK sheepmeat market figures
(carcase weight equivalent - tonnes)
| 2009 | 2010 | 2011 | 2012 (forecast) | |
| Production | 307,000 | 277,000 | 289,000 | 290,000 |
| Imports* | 137,000 | 121,000 | 102,000 | 108,000 |
| Exports* | 99,000 | 93,000 | 102,000 | 104,000 |
| Consumption* | 345,000 | 306,000 | 289,000 | 294,000 |
*Including processed sheepmeat products
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