It is interesting to see how the Cockermouth and Workington floods have got the Eco-warriors back on-message. We haven't really had a peep out of them for the past few months. I guess they were all primed up to flood us with dire warnings that the 'barbecue summer', so eagerly predicted by our excellent Meteorological Office, which was expected to result in our hospitals being swamped with the old folks dying in thousands of heat stroke, that is if they hadn't already succumbed to 'swine flu', while the rest of us basked in tropical conditions, was entirely the result of global warming.
How galling it must have been to find, once again, that traditional British weather was destined to interfere with summer activities. There weren't even any flash flood events of note that they could hang their banners upon, just wall to wall damp and dreary rain so the standard predictions of "hotter drier summers and wetter milder winters" had to languish in the background.
But now, with such divine timing in the run up to the next convention of the world's latest religious cult in Copenhagen, there's a sign from above and all's wrong with the world again. In the past week the old summer/winter weather predictions have surfaced again and the floods of recent years have been trotted out in support of these particular crystal ball gazings. The floods have been compared to Carlisle in 2005 - which of course was in January, but also to the floods of 2007 in Northern Ireland, Yorkshire, the Severn and Thames valleys and South Wales, but conveniently omitting to mention that these occurred in June and July, thus hardly supporting the dry summers scenario.
In fact if you look back over notable floods since the war, from Lynmouth in 1952 with the exceptions of Carlisle and Cockermouth, they almost all happened in the summer or autumn. And there would be a very good case to argue that the present floods in Cumbria only reached disaster proportions because of the exceptionally wet summer leaving the ground utterly sodden.
It's a good thing that the Climate Change religion is firmly founded on faith rather than fact, otherwise you'd think its priests and priestesses would be having serious doubts, but strangely the only doubts they seem to have are on why only 45% of the population believe in their teachings. They seem to put this down to lack of credibility of the politicians who have taken up the faith. Perhaps they should rather look at how believable the scientific establishment is.
The general public have become so used to receiving dire warnings of impending doom that never come to pass, they are no longer prepared to believe the scientific establishment on face value. That this is especially so with climate change is hardly surprising when just 30 years ago we were all being told we were about to be plunged into a mini ice age. Add to that the predictions of the millions or billions that would be dead from nvCJD; the next pandemic (bird flu, swine flu, whatever); AIDS and many more I'm sure I've forgotten,
In recent months it seems to me that the predictions of doom relating to climate change are getting wilder and more strident. I suppose this is in reaction to the global cooling that has occurred in public opinion but if the Eco-warrior cultists have any regard to that public opinion they should temper their enthusiasm with a modicum of reality. Keeping on with predictions which are patently not coming to pass will not do. Perhaps delegates to Copenhagen (tens of thousands of them trailing countless carbon across the skies) should be issued with a copy of Aesop's Fables with a bookmark inserted in The Shepherd Boy and The Wolf.