welshnwilling: Peter Wells:
You are an optimist (with your fingers crossed) after all
Yes Peter I am most of the time and although I'm not a religious person, I do have 'faith' that things will always turn out OK in the end (somehow).
Back to the subject in question, does anyone know if there's a shortage of lambs on the continent following the Schmallenberg outbreak ? As some optimist once said 'every cloud has a silver lining'.
It looks like lamb production in Holland and Belgium will be down by around 10%, the western part of Germany perhaps a little more, and northern France rather less. Since none of these are huge lamb producers, any shortage may be small. On the other hand, buyers are rarely absolutely rational in response to a possible shortage, and if they panic, it could push prices up significantly. As a speculation, I wonder how many sheep farmers in Europe will give up this year as a result of Schmallenberg experience? The sheer unpleasantness of it outweighs the numerical loss, as far as I can see, and having lost just one lamb to Schmallenberg myself (and that not confirmed).