Some extra information on Bluetongue from my perspective following a recent meeting to look at the scenarios. Many questions are covered in this.
Report on Seminar on Bluetongue at Writtle on 13th. Sept 07
I attended this seminar organised by Defra at Writtle college as an NFU representative.
The numbers of people attending were greatly reduced due to the outbreak of FMD, the majority of attendees were from Trading Standards, Police, Army, Vets and Defra staff. I appeared to be the only farmer!
The major part of the presentation was given by Philip Mellor of IAH at Pirbright, an expert in Arbovirology. He gave background details into the disease as well as an update on the present situation in Europe and the factors that are most likely to cause it to arrive in the UK.
I will give a precis of the main points:-
There are 24 serotypes of the virus. The virus causes a breakdown of blood vessels, it effects the Red blood cells. Many animals die of secondary infections normally respiratory, treatment by antibiotics is not very effective. Viraemia in sheep lasts for a max. of 54 days and in cattle up to a 100, although normally 60.
All ruminants are susceptible, especially sheep and possibly deer, cattle tend to be the reservoir for the disease. (Some sheep are resistant most notably Dorpers, probably due to their origin in North Africa and the Middle East.It is not known whether any UK breeds will be resistant.)
BT in cattle is very difficult to diagnose and very few show any symptoms, in the USA less than 0.1%, in Europe it is slightly higher at 0.2 – 0.4%
The serotype in Europe is BTV8, this did not occur anywhere else in Europe and in fact the last and nearest outbreak was 1982 in W.Africa.
All BT’s are spread by Midges and until the latest outbreak it was thought that only one species mainly spread the disease. (Culicoides Imicola) This midge has a very specific geographical range of between 40 degrees North and South.
However it is now realised that nearly all midges can spread the disease (there are over1400 named species. They are nearly everywhere in the world, but significantly as far as sheep are concerned New Zealand does not have any.
Some species are active all the year round and normally live for around 10 days depending on the temperature.
They will breed in any damp area and even in dung pats. However when the temperature is less than 15 C. the disease will not replicate.
Temperature drives the virus and global warming / climate change is increasing the range. Since 1998 there have been 11 incursions of BT into Europe and in the previous 40 years there were only 2.
At least 1.5 million sheep have been killed by the virus since 1998 in Europe.
In the present outbreak in N.Europe officially at last week some 5,526 holdings are recorded as outbreaks, although realistically the figure is likely to be more than double this. Sheep mortality is high at around 30% and cattle is unusually high at around 5% (these figures could be conservative!) All of Holland, Belgium and now most of Germany are infected areas. To enable animals to be traded it was soon decided that it was easier to make the control areas as large as practical.
At present there are no Vaccines for BTV8. Most BT vaccines are made in S.Africa for sheep.
Live vaccines could be made almost immediately but these are extremely dangerous to use and it is extremely unlikely that the EU would allow the use of them.
If given the go ahead now, then Merial could produce an inactivated for BTV8 by spring 2008.
Sheep would require an annual shot and if given pre lambing would potentially give some cover to lambs. Cattle would need 2 shots a year. The vaccine would cost approx. 35p. per shot and would be ongoing for at least 3 years maybe longer to get rid of the disease
Other possible controls are not very practical:-
It would be difficult to destroy vector breeding sites in Europe.
Possibly housing stock reduces infection rates, but not very practical with extensive sheep enterprises.
Not really a viable chemical option. Sprays of OP or SP would not last long enough as many sheep are often bitten on the face when they are grazing.
Ivermectin injections may possibly help but only very short term.
Temperature, wind speed and direction are the catalyst for the spread of the disease.
The Midges can in theory fly up to 100 miles and wind blown infection has been known at up to 200 kms in the Mediterranean.
Last year in N.Europe there were only a handful of outbreaks by the end of September, however by the time the disease appeared to halt in February 2007 there had been more than 2,500 outbreaks.
The Met. Office has a computer model that measures the risks of the disease arriving here. Fortunately this year up to now we have not reached the highest risk level from wind direction and temperature combined.
However this may not always be the way that the disease can arrive. There are two theories about how BT started in N.Europe. At the end of July there was a horse fair in Aachen where horses had come from far and wide and the midges could have travelled in a Horse Box. Or a theory by Philip Mellor is that the midge arrived in flowers air freighted from West Africa, the last known active area of BTV8.
If it does arrive then the methods of control will depend on a number of factors. However Phase 1 will be slaughter and attempt to control. This will be very dependent on time of the year when it arrives (the later in the year the better chance of stopping it when the temperature is below 15.C.)
If a number of cases were found over a large geographical area then Phase 2 would come in and that would be to live with it and hope a vaccine becomes available.
My Observations and Concerns.
BT in cattle is very difficult to diagnose and with few large animal vets used on farms it may be a while before it is identified. Speed would be essential if any control is to be attempted.
Unexplained deaths in sheep are common and vets virtually never see sheep these days. (As a vet said until 50 have died they may not get called in!) This could be aggravated with the FMD restrictions and the present very low or nil value of animals.) It is essential to get over the message that identifying the disease and reporting it immediately is essential. (It would possibly help if any suspected animals would be taken away for free.)
If it does arrive and I fear we would have to accept Phase 2 quite quickly then one of the greatest problems as they have discovered in Europe is disposing of the carcases. With no compensation farmers will not pay to have these dead animals taken away and many will not even report the deaths. FOR MANY IT WOULD BE THE END OF FARMING. Veterinary treatment needs to be ongoing and the costs would be unsustainable.
The French government have already given 2 million euros to the farmers affected to help.