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This certainly isn’t news to anyone farming over here, farmers have known we were in trouble for at least 4 weeks. As far as the low interest loans go, in a situation like this another loan doesn’t do much other than prolong the agony.
I wasn’t around in the 1930s, so I can’t compare what it was like then to now, No one had crop insurance during the 30s, that in itself made that worse. I really don’t know the percentage of farmers with insurance,or the level of coverage they have, I suspect the farther into the cornbelt you get the less coverage there is since they rarely get a crop failure.
Livestock producers will take this the hardest, since the government has fewer programs geared toward them, Water and feed are both problems, when you run out of water that is a very hard situation to remedy, much harder than running out of feed. There is an insurance option for pasture and hay land that few people use, I actually took both out for this year because my gut feeling was we would have another drought, based more than anything on the fact we haven’t had a multi-year drought since the 1980s. I am anxiously waiting to see how this will actually work, since the entire pasture/hay program is based on rainfall at various locations, I don’t know where these measurement stations are or if they have benefited from spotty rains.
No matter how you slice it though, it is far better to raise a crop and raise hay and grass for your livestock than it is to take insurance claims, but thank goodness and the US taxpayer that we do have this safety net. Even so, I am certain this will push some producers out.
I do read weather reports that perhaps this drought will moderate in the next month, the damage is done to the corn, we have what we have, soybeans and grain sorghum will be somewhat more forgiving, but they are hurt permanently as well, just not to the point they couldn’t make a passable crop.
Everyone was so excited this spring with the early planted crop, it was planted early because it was hot and dry early, in retrospect that really wasn’t anything to celebrate.
I don’t think anyone can say with any certainty what percent the corn crop will be cut. 50% seems awfully drastic. There are parts of the country getting rain, there are parts that are irrigated. 15% is a huge loss nationwide, 50% would be catastrophic.
I heard this morning one farmer lost 29 head of cattle to blue green algae about 20 miles from here. If it is not one thing it is another with this darned dry weather.
kf, All I can offer is sympathy. We have all heard the expression “I know how you feel”, but unless somebody has farmed through a real drought, then, “No you do not not” is the only response. Things ae pretty rough in SW Europe this summer too after the dry winter, but at least everybody knows it will not rain for at least another 10 to 14 weeks, so they live with it. Totally different when you can usually expect some rain – and therefore much worse for you than it is for us. Hope the dry ends for you soon.
Never fear old Mac, we know this has to happen from time to time, we are not happy about it, but secure in the knowledge 6 months from now we will be freezing our asses off, it may not be wet, but it will be cold.
Forecast this morning is for dry and 100s all week.