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26 US states declare drought disaster

Started by glasshouse

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  • #868045

     
    glasshouseglasshouse
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    this is getting serious

    #868046

     
    AllyRAllyR
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    Yes, I think so. And here too with the wet

  • #868047

     
    bankruptbankrupt
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    According to Bloomberg, it’s not going away any time soon.

    #868048

     
    Peter WellsPeter Wells
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    I suppose that experience of the droughts and dust bowls of the, was it the thirties, will help US officials to take the most useful support steps for farmers and communities this time.

    The Bloomberg report suggests that practical steps are already underway. I await KF’s next posting.

    #868049

     
    bankruptbankrupt
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    Hopefully, Peter Wells, allusions to 1934 and to 1936 will prove premature.

    Much more recently, the crop year 1972 would surely be quite closely approximate to current circumstances?

    Grain prices more than doubled then (or trebled, if one reads David Richardson) to 48/ton (600 in today’s money) because of severe drought in the USSR.    

    Quite why David Richardson was selling at 16 when we never got less than 22 remains to be explained.

    #868050

     
    welshnwillingwelshnwilling
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     All they need to do is announce a hose pipe ban and  the heavens will open. Never fails !

    #868051

     
    perry6420
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    Can’t we ship some of our rain over to them so they could spread on the land.

    #868052

     
    stephen northhenarar
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    If all the planes that were going that way hooked up a cloud and towed it out there

    #868053

     
    Brian Hindkansasfarmer
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    This certainly isn’t news to anyone farming over here, farmers have known we were in trouble for at least 4 weeks.  As far as the low interest loans go, in a situation like this another loan doesn’t do much other than prolong the agony. 

    I wasn’t around in the 1930s, so I can’t compare what it was like then to now,  No one had crop insurance during the 30s, that in itself made that worse.  I really don’t know the percentage of farmers with insurance,or the level of coverage they have, I suspect the farther into the cornbelt you get the less coverage there is since they rarely get a crop failure.  

    #868054

     
    Brian Hindkansasfarmer
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     Livestock producers will take this the hardest, since the government has fewer programs geared toward them,   Water and feed are both problems, when you run out of water that is a very hard situation to remedy, much harder than running out of feed.  There is an insurance option for pasture and hay land that few people use, I actually took both out for this year because my gut feeling was we would have another drought, based more than anything on the fact we haven’t had a multi-year drought since the 1980s.  I am anxiously waiting to see how this will actually work, since the entire pasture/hay program is based on rainfall at various locations, I don’t know where these measurement stations are or if they have benefited from spotty rains. 

    No matter how you slice it though, it is far better to raise a crop and raise hay and grass for your livestock than it is to take insurance claims, but thank goodness and the US taxpayer that we do have this safety net.  Even so, I am certain this will push some producers out.

    I do read weather reports that perhaps this drought will moderate in the next month, the damage is done to the corn, we have what we have, soybeans and grain sorghum will be somewhat more forgiving, but they are hurt permanently as well, just not to the point they couldn’t make a passable crop.

    Everyone was so excited this spring with the early planted crop, it was planted early because it was hot and dry early, in retrospect that really wasn’t anything to celebrate.

    #868055

     
    glasshouseglasshouse
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    KF, it hasnt made the bbc news yet, only bloomberg, and very little is being said unless you are watching the cbot go haywire.

    the bloomberg guy last night said the corn would be down by 50%, not the 15% quoted. is that true?

    back home, this is the first dry day in july

    #868056

     
    welshnwillingwelshnwilling
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    glasshouse

    it hasnt made the bbc news yet,

     

     http://www.telegraph.co.uk/finance/commodities/9384947/US-drought-threatens-to-fuel-food-inflation.html

    glasshouse

    back home, this is the first dry day in july

     

    P***ing down here.

    #868057

     
    Brian Hindkansasfarmer
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     I don’t think anyone can say with any certainty what percent the corn crop will be cut.  50% seems awfully drastic.  There are parts of the country getting rain, there are parts that are irrigated.  15% is a huge loss nationwide, 50% would be catastrophic.

    I heard this morning one farmer lost 29 head of cattle to blue green algae about 20 miles from here.  If it is not one thing it is another with this darned dry weather.

    #868058

     
    old mcdonald
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    kf, All I can offer is sympathy. We have all heard the expression “I know how you feel”, but unless somebody has farmed through a real drought, then, “No you do not not” is the only response. Things ae pretty rough in SW Europe this summer too after the dry winter, but at least everybody knows it will not rain for at least another 10 to 14 weeks, so they live with it. Totally different when you can usually expect some rain – and therefore much worse for you than it is for us. Hope the dry ends for you soon.

    #868059

     
    Brian Hindkansasfarmer
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     Never fear old Mac, we know this has to happen from time to time, we are not happy about it, but secure in the knowledge 6 months from now we will be freezing our asses off, it may not be wet, but it will be cold.

    Forecast this morning is for dry and 100s all week.

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