By FW Staff
PULSE yields may be down, but there is still a sizeable tonnage to export this season. Given the huge US soya crop and cheap peas elsewhere, that could be difficult.
Peas yielded an average of 3.49t/ha (1.4t/acre), producing 352,000 tonnes, a slip of 6% on last year. But quality and colour of premium human consumption and micronising peas are excellent, says Dalgetys Julie Goult.
About 64,000 tonnes – mostly feed – will need to be shipped. “In the short term, price prospects are good,” says trader Adrian Forrest. But short cover is driving the price, currently about £77-78/t. “Consumers are not in the market.”
As a result, central European supplies are available at an £8-10/t discount, taking Mediterranean business. Imminent Canadian supplies are even cheaper, says Mr Forrest.
Beans averaged 3.27t/ha, but area was up, producing a 405,000 tonne crop, 5% higher than 1997. Again, the price is buoyant, at £80/t ex-farm, due to lack of available crop and committed shipments.
Shifting the 300,000 tonnes awaiting export will be a struggle without a sharp price correction later in the season, Mr Forrest predicts.
- UK ruminant straights prices, updated weekly
- Chicago soya prices firm up, FWi Markets, 9 September, 1998
- Current Chicago soya bean price, updated every 10 minutes