23 November 2001

More normal winter?

AND here is the weather… The winter will bring normal temperature, wind, and, albeit to a lesser degree of certainty, rainfall, predicts University College Londons department of space and climate physics.

Its forecast is that the North Atlantic Oscillation, a measure of sea surface temperature variation, will be about average for Dec-Feb.

That has proved a reasonably reliable indicator of long-term weather, hence the long-term forecast, says climate physicist Mark Saunders.

For more detail see www.forecast.mssl.ucl.ac.uk – but dont expect a weather map with suns and clouds. This is high science mathematical modelling with graphs and standard deviations. &#42