The land market in North Wales – outlook

Simon H Jones, of Morgan Evans, outlines what the key features of the North Wales land market were in 2014 and predicts what 2015 could bring.

2014 market – key features

Most of our 2014 trade was on Anglesey and included numerous lots of grazing land, from small plots to 140 acres. This was in contrast to the previous two years, which featured fewer, larger units on the market.

Prices were similar to 2013, with the exception of a couple of lots that exceeded expectations due to local competition.

Good-quality bare grazing land ranging from 20-70 acres achieved between £7,000-9,000/acre, with some lots peaking at £12,300/acre.

The largest block – a 140-acre farm – was sold before auction above the guide of £850,000.
2015 outlook – main market influences

Ever present demand for land aligned with increased investment from the dairy sector needing more ground to supply forage.

Inheritance tax benefits and a very buoyant rental market will persuade some to buy instead of renting.

The banks are looking very favourably at any farmer with a sound business plan wanting to expand, aligned with the favourable interest rates, which is also attracting interest from outside investors.

2015 outlook – what will happen to land prices?

The expectation is for land prices to stay buoyant and – depending on supply – to probably become slightly firmer.

How much land will come on to the market in 2015?

The total acreage sold in 2014 was slightly less than in 2013, but the buoyant trade and strong demand could persuade a few owners to offload, while ensuring they do not sell too much in one financial year.

Easiest farm or land to sell in 2015

All the farmland we sold in 2014 was fairly easy to sell, and we expect the same for 2015. It is imperative that clients take their agent’s advice about mode of selling, marketing strategy and reserve price.

Most difficult farm to sell in 2015

The most difficult properties to sell are those where the client expects too much for their land. Various conditions such as clawback on planning consent could also affect demand.

Futures markets and commodity risk management online course:

  • Risk management strategies for a more predictable financial performance
  • Educated conversations when collaborating with your advisors
  • Negotiate better prices with your grain merchants

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