Outlook 2023: A look back on 50 years of change

In the 50 years since Andersons was founded, much has changed in the economy, society and farming.

In 1973, the UK population was 56.2 million, with an average life expectancy of 72 years. Today it is 20% higher at 67.5 million, and people can expect to live 10 years longer.  

Inflation on the retail price index (RPI) in September 1973 was 94.8, now it is 1,371.3 (September 2022), so prices have gone up about 14-fold.

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Wages averaged £1,300-£1,400/year in 1973, compared with just over £31,000 in 2022, a 23-fold rise.

The percentage of household spending on food and drink in 1973 was 31%, with 84% of that consumed in the home.

By 2020 this had fallen to 17% and in 2019 (the last year before the Covid-19 pandemic, to enable fair comparison) consumption in the home had dropped to 62%.

Food self-sufficiency

In 1973, the UK was 62% self-sufficient in all foods. The figure for foods that can be grown or produced domestically was 72% at that time. 

Things have not changed radically on this measure. Total self-sufficiency in 2021 was 61% and for indigenous food it was 74%. 

However, there has been significant change in the intervening years.  The high-point came in 1984 when the figures were 78% and 95%, respectively. 

The average 1973 value of bare arable and pasture land in England and Wales was £500/acre, according to agent Knight Frank.

For the first three quarters of 2022, the firm puts the value at £7,673/acre, a 15-fold increase, so slightly higher than the rate of inflation.

The average house price in August 1973 was £8,700, compared with £295,900 in 2022, which represents a 34-fold increase. Had the path of house prices followed the RPI, the average house price would now be worth £121,800.

Cost of common items – 1973 and 2022

(pence)

1973 price

1973 price adjusted for inflation (x 14)

2022 actual price

Litre of petrol

9

126

180

Loaf of bread

11½

161

120

Pint of milk

5½

77

58

Dozen eggs

32

448

222

Nescafe 8oz coffee

54

756

454

Daily Mirror

3

42

90

20 cigarettes

26½

371

1050

Pint of beer

18½

259

375

Golden Wonder crisps

2½

35

60

Source: Andersons    

Food consumption – 1973 and 2020

Grammes a person a week

1973

2020

2020 as a % of 1973

Milk and cream

2,938

1,746

59%

All meat (including offal and meat products)

1,121

949

85%

Beef

179

97

54%

Lamb

126

32

25%

Pork

85

41

48%

Bacon and ham

151

90

60%

Poultry

173

271

157%

Eggs (number)

4.23

2.22

47%

Fish

134

148

110%

Fat and oils

318

158

50%

Sugar

388

56

14%

Fresh and processed vegetables

2,456

1,147

47%

Fresh potatoes

1,302

355

27%

Fresh fruit

708

767

108%

Bread

947

524

55%

Breakfast cereal

84

128

152%

Rice

17

111

653%

Pasta and pizza

31

186

600%

Complete ready meals (meat, fish and vegetable based)

35

227

649%

Source: Defra Family Food Survey/Andersons 

Structure of UK farming – 1973 and 2021

 

1973

2021

Total farmed area (‘000ha)

19,359

17,406

Permanent pasture and rough grazing (‘000ha)

12,020

11,317

Arable (crops and temporary grass) (‘000ha)

7,339

6,088

Number of farming holdings (‘000)

375

220

Number of full-time farmers (‘000)

219*

147

Number of part-time farmers (‘000)

80*

153

Number of farmworkers** (‘000)

300

167

Percentage of tenanted land***

42%

30%

Average tractor size (hp)****

70

166

Source: Defra/Andersons *1976 figures; these exclude spouses, while 2021 figures include them  ** Full-time, part-time and casual (not seasonal)  *** GB only  **** Source AEA – 1973 is extrapolated

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