Fertiliser market gets moving
ALTHOUGH there are significant tonnages yet to be purchased, domestic ammonium nitrate is finally starting to roll from the factories.
Good weather making harvest easy, while quality grain and a corn price which is said to have bottomed out have restored some confidence in the arable market.
At the same time the gap between farmers expectations and the manufacturers pricing has closed with large orders moving on-farm about £85/t delivered.
Structure still remains in the marketplace however, and the industry expects this price to move upwards, month on month.
After a flurry of interest in autumn fertilisers, probably brought about by a cargo of 0.26.26 reportedly sold on farm around £120-123/t, sales of blended 0.24.24 have slowed and settled around £118/t.
By the time the various merchants involved have distributed the cargo, reputed to be some 12,000 tonnes, it will be very thinly spread.
The market for top dressing fertilisers containing both nitrogen and sulphur would normally be starting about now.
Last year these products were sold at “parity”, that is both nutrients were given the same value, making NS the same price as straight N.
Today a premium of some £3/t is expected for sulphur to reflect the increased costs associated with manufacturing.
Allegedly the premium is putting many cereal farmers off despite clear agronomic benefits which are, however, well recognised by oilseed growers.
Interest in forward buying remains weak.
CURRENT MARKETS £85 prilled
IRELAND CAN 27.6.6 complex 25.5.5 complex 24.6.12 complex CAN 27.21/2.5 18.6.12 10.10.20
Immediate delivery N
Post-harvest delivery N
Small loads pay November
Imported urea
Imported nitrogen deliver December
Imported 0.26.26
Domestic 0.24.24
£85
£92-95 dependant on month
£92
£93 granular
£73
£123
£118-120
Imported CAN
Northern Ireland
85
88-90
124-128
112-117
120-123
Republic of Ireland*
99-104
137-143
140-147
No market
*Note in the Republic of Ireland nutrients are expressed as elements not oxides. Analyses will not be directly comparable with those used in the UK.. *Prices in the Republic are IR£
FORTHCOMING MARKETS
Anticipated general prices post-harvest
N/S (High S) | N/S (Low S) | TSP(47%P2O5) | Muriate of Potash (60%K2O) | PK. 0.24.24 |
92 | 92 | 130 | 117 | 120 |
BACKGROUND MARKET Products not currently traded in volume 105-110 *Complex fertilisers are those where typically all nutrients are combined in one granule.
20.10.10 complex/blend*
KN
KNS
20.5.15
England/Wales Grassland Markets
110-115/
90-95
90-95
90-95
England Arable Markets
No Market
93-96
93-96
93-96
Scotland
108-112/103-108
90-95
90-95
90-95
15.15.20
17.17.17
130-135
135-140
Note All illustrated prices are based upon 20 tonne loads for immediate payment. Prices for smaller loads and those with credit terms will vary considerably.
Source: Bridgewater Associates