Hope for Treasury shift on IHT after year of farming pressure

Hopes have been raised of a possible change to the inheritance tax plans set out at the last Budget, with the Treasury said to be considering alternative proposals.
Co-organiser of last year’s 10,000-strong Westminster farming rally, Herefordshire farmer Martin Williams, told Farmers Weekly there were conversations taking place across Whitehall on the matter ahead of this year’s Budget.
“There are more than just bits of rumours about potential changes to the threshold, which would inevitably mean the people we’ve been trying to get off the hook would get off the hook,” he said.
Officials are reported to be looking at the “minimum share rule” proposed by the Centre for the Analysis of Taxation (CenTax).
This would give full relief from inheritance tax (IHT) up to £5m per person (£10m for a married couple), where farmland or business assets form at least 60% of an estate.
From £5m-£10m per person there would be 50% relief, but after £10m, no relief.
CenTax claims this proposal would double the revenue the government expected to raise from the current IHT changes, from £500m by 2029-30 to £1bn.
Pushing the allowance for a single person from £5m-£10m would still raise as much as the original proposal.
This plan would, however, mean larger farms bearing a greater cost to take smaller ones out of scope.
“It all sits quite nicely as a way out,” said Mr Williams. “The government can dress it up because they gain more money.”
Tom Bradshaw, president of the NFU, told Farmers Weekly he was also feeling optimistic about the prospect of movement on the policy.
“I’ve always felt there had to be some change, but I was pretty downbeat on my way up to Labour conference. I left feeling much more positive, though,” he said.
“We spoke with more than 40 MPs there and I just got a real sense that they are they are galvanised behind trying to get some substantive change.
“My strong suspicion is that they are pushing the CenTax work.”
The Tenant Farmers Association (TFA) told Farmers Weekly they had also heard rumours of potential changes to the IHT policy plans.
Lynette Steel, TFA farm policy adviser, said: “After months of lobbying, we are really hopeful that the government is finally listening to the industry.
“And we would welcome a change in the policy, especially as the industry juggles growing uncertainty as we approach 2026”.
Other lobbyists, including chief executive of the Nature Friendly Farming Network Martin Lines, have been feeding into discussions in Westminster.
“I’ve spoken to many rural MPs, including Labour members, who agree that improvements are needed,” he said.
“They want to find amendments and pathways to reduce the negative impact, especially on the older generation of farmers.”
The Treasury referred Farmers Weekly to a previous statement, saying its IHT reforms “get the balance right” between supporting farms and fixing the public finances.
Farmers warn government of looming ‘winter of discontent’
Fed-up farmers have warned the Labour government that without urgent reform to its inheritance tax (IHT) plans, the UK faces its worst winter of discontent since the Thatcher era.
Alan Hughes, Shropshire tenant farmer and spokesman for Farmers To Action, described the situation as “a tinder box moment.” He said: “If this Autumn Budget goes through the way it is, we’re going to be looking at a winter of discontent reminiscent of 1978-79.”
Highlighting the mental health crisis among farmers, Mr Hughes added: “The closer it gets to the April 2026 inheritance tax deadline, the more desperate I’m seeing farmers become.”
But momentum for fresh farmer protests is building, Mr Hughes revealed. “The majority of groups that were involved in the Trailer of Truth tour are all considering action in the coming weeks. Several groups are now co-ordinating plans and getting bits and pieces together.
“There will certainly be more action at the end of this month and more action before the Budget and on a national scale.”
But he ruled out French-style direct protests and targeting supermarket depots. “Well-planned protests will keep the pressure on. Cool heads win wars, hotheads lose them.”
Mr Hughes also criticised supermarkets for squeezing producers while raising prices for consumers, saying: “The producers fight inflation while the supermarkets pull down the prices. It is not just a problem here in the UK, it is a global issue.”