Fertiliser price shock

MERCHANTS ARE braced for a shock early next week when the price of nitrogen is published for the start of the new 2005/2006 season.

They have told customers to expect a starting price of ÂŁ130/t on farm, but market leaders Terra are now more likely to start at ÂŁ140/t for farm delivery in July, payment in August.


Though Britain’s other ammonia manufacturer, Kemira GrowHow, will undoubtedly follow suit, stocks of both suppliers are limited so sales will be tightly managed.


As much as 750,000t of orders are often placed in the first quarter, but manufacturers may only be able to cover half that volume with fertiliser manufactured at lower summer gas prices.


The price list will not go beyond September and will feature a ÂŁ2 a month hike in both August and September.


The rules of supply and demand in the now truly global fertiliser economy have changed.


Most farmers are aware that high energy costs have pushed urea and ammonia to astronomical prices ($260/t f.o.b.).


But the fact that UK nitrogen prices will be cheaper than in France, for example, will come as no comfort.


At current cereal prices, a hike of £25/t over last July’s price will be hard to stomach and the season may well be slow to start whilst all options are considered.


CURRENT PRICES (ÂŁ/t)


Great Britain





































Straight


Domestic N (34.5%N) SP5


June ÂŁ145-150
July ÂŁ140


Imported AN Lithuanian & Bulgarian


ÂŁ138-142 where available


Imported urea



ÂŁ194 granular
ÂŁ175 prills (new material)
ÂŁ165 prills (current stock – little available)


Liquid UAN
37kg/100litres (
29.6%N/t)


ÂŁ142


TSP (47%P2O5)


ÂŁ145


Muriate of Potash(60%K2O)


ÂŁ133


 



















































Compound


 


Complex


Blended


25.5.5


ÂŁ145-147


From ÂŁ138


15.15.20


ÂŁ163-168


 


20.10.10 / 27.5.5


ÂŁ147-149


From ÂŁ140


17.17.17


ÂŁ168-173


 


Aftercuts NK


 


ÂŁ134


27.6.6 (imported)


 


 


32.5.0 (imported)


 


ÂŁ136-138


 




















Trace elements

Copper, zinc, selenium,
cobalt Iodine and sodium

ÂŁ11.10/acre pack


Ireland









































 


Northern
Ireland


Republic
of Ireland†


Urea

£200 (existing stocks only) €270-280
(dependant on source and quality)
CAN £130 €160+

24.6.12
aftercut*


ÂŁ170-175 (anticipated)


€240-250+


25.5.5


ÂŁ160-165


 


27.6.6
complex**


ÂŁ170-175


€247-250+ (CCF)
€230-235 import blend


†Note in the Republic of Ireland nutrients are expressed as elements not oxides.  Analyses will not be directly comparable with those used in the UK.
*Known as 24.2½.10 blend in the Republic of Ireland
**Known as 27.2½.5 in ROI






































Note All illustrated prices are based upon 24 tonne loads for immediate payment. Prices for smaller loads and those with credit terms will vary considerably.


Source: Bridgewater

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