Milk costs report shows record yields in challenging year

Uncertainty is the only certainty, with the weather and geopolitics pushing dairy costs, prices and performance to new limits in the milk year ended March 2026.

The Kingshay Dairy Costings Focus Report identifies the main trends and performance indicators, using data from 1,089 conventional herds and 88 organic herds.

See also: Drought means tough autumn choices for organic dairy herds

The 2026 report, published this week, reflects a year of extremes to March 2026, which saw record high milk production, a summer drought, flooding in winter, milk price highs followed by rapid falls.

Alongside this, the run up to the end of the milk year saw rocketing fertiliser and fuel prices as a result of the US action on Iran.

Records broken

The year of extremes included a record average yield for the conventional Holstein-Friesian herds in the report, at 8,848 litres a cow.  

However, the results show that the uptick in yield was not at the expense of feed efficiency, says Kingshay farm services specialist Emma Puddy.

Clamping silage

© Tim Scrivener

Margin over purchased feed (MOPF) for herds in the series rose 3% on the year to £2,708 a cow, helped by a milk to feed price ratio of 1.40, the highest for 20 years.

Average concentrate costs, at £298/t, were down 9% on the previous year and the higher feeding rate also boosted butterfat and protein contents to 4.37% and 3.46% respectively.

Almost all herd types saw a rise in constituent levels.

The average milk price, at 41.74p/litre, was the third-highest on record, but 1.12p/litre lower than in the previous year.

More milk from forage also contributed to the rise in MOPF, at an average 2,652 litres a cow, up 9% on the year.

However, there were regional differences in this result with, broadly, producers in the West and the North having a better growing season than others.

The number of days grazing fell in all herd types, but overall there was an increase in milk from forage.

Milk prices

The top 10% herds by MOPF saw their milk price peak at 54.79p/litre in September 2025 while the bottom 10% performers were down at 27.91p/litre in March 2026, highlighting the benefit of aligned contracts which smooth out the peaks and troughs, a factor especially important in the second half of the milk year.

Over the year, aligned farmgate milk prices ranged from a low of 38.96p/litre to a high of 43.53p/litre, while non-aligned monthly averages were from 33.19p/litre to 46.37p /litre.

Cull and calf price impact

High calf and cull values have helped lessen the impact of the drop in milk prices. At 28.9%, the culling rate was slightly down on the previous year’s record of 29.2%.

The trend to cull earlier continued, with 53.3% of animals leaving the herd doing so in their first, second or third lactation and 29.2% in their fourth or fifth lactation.

Culling rates in larger herds are slightly higher than in the average herd.

Labour costs reached a record high, at £18.76/hour (including national insurance and pension cost) for a senior skilled worker and £14.63/hour for a minimum wage 21-year-old worker.

These rates mark a 51% rise in five years.

Performance gaps and opportunities

The Kingshay results repeat the evidence that there is still a large gap between the top 25% of herds and the average, in terms of production, health, input costs and milk price, says Kingshay’s development director Richard Simspon.

This means there are plenty of opportunities for producers to make incremental improvements that can add up to significant savings, despite many factors being outside their control.

Options to narrow the performance gap and manage challenging seasons

Herd health – this has shown a steady improvement overall, but there’s an annual £13,400 a herd gap between this cost for top 25% performers (annual cost £16,907 a herd) and the average (£30,307 a herd)

Grazing management – more controlled grazing could help in challenging seasons, subject to housing availability

Dairy beef – flexibility in numbers and/or feeding regimes to ease pressure on resources for milk production animals

Forage – many herds will need additional forage production and or storage capacity to provide a seasonal buffer, and they need to plan winter feed and forage now, says Richard Simpson, of Kingshay.  

“The expectation of a strong El Nino weather pattern means that there appears to be more of the same in terms of extremes of weather in store, with the possibility that summer 2027 will be hotter than this year,” he warns.

Record dairy stats in year of extremes

  • Record average yield for conventional Holstein-Friesian herds – 8,848 litres a cow
  • Record level of concentrate feeding at an average 2,997kg a cow (4% higher than previous year)
  • Record overall herd MOPF of £614,898 (up 4%)
  • Record low somatic cell count in conventional herds, dropping a further 3,000 on the year to average 154,000
  • Record high labour costs, at £18.76/hour (including national insurance and pension cost) for a senior skilled worker and £14.63/hour for a minimum wage 21-year-old worker.  Labour costs have risen 51% over the past five years.

Organic focus

The organic herds in the costings series had a stronger year in terms of both financial and technical performance, which followed several difficult years for the sector.

Average yield for the 88 organic herds in the Kingshay series rose 8.6% to 6,843 litres a cow. Within this, yield from forage was up 6.1%, to 2,939 litres a cow.

A 9.2% jump in average milk price to 57.66p/litre helped put MOPF up 21.7% on a per cow basis, to £3,013. On a per litre basis it rose 12% to 44.03p/litre, with concentrate use up 11% at 1,995kg/cow and 0.29kg/litre.

Herd size was unchanged compared with 2025, at an average 245 cows However, this is about 100 cows more than 20 years ago.

Somatic cell count improved to a record low average of 173,000 last year, down from 180,000 in 2024-25. Bactoscans were unchanged, at 27.

Milk production systems – results compared

Conventional herds, all breeds

Spring calving herds

Autumn/split block calving (grazing focus)

Autumn/split block calving (housing focus)

All year round calving (grazing focus)

All year round calving (housing focus)

Cows in herd

229

198

233

163

263

Stocking rate

2.45

2.13

2.20

2.27

2.42

Milk production

Milk yield (litres/cow)

6,160

7,230

8,735

7,420

10,075

Yield from all forage (litres/cow)

2,984

3,096

3,046

2,705

2,383

Yield from grazed  forage (litres/cow)

1,737

1,430

1,230

1,248

1,031

Number of days grazing

205

229

161

199

142

Total yield from forage (%)

48%

43%

35%

37%

24%

Milk solids (kg a cow)

513

596

698

607

804

 

Milk price (p/litre)

44.24

42.78

42.17

41.30

41.44

Milk price: feed price ratio

1.44

1.46

1.43

1.35

1.40

Margin over purchased feed (MOPF)

MOPF (£/cow)

2,191

2,424

2,783

2,302

2,947

MOPF (p/litre)

35.57

33.53

31.86

31.02

29.25

Source: Kingshay Dairy Costings Focus 2026