Nitrogen price rise likely next week


By Roger Chesher


NITROGEN business has now slowed considerably and the August price, due to close on Friday (24), has been allowed to run for slightly longer than expected.

The September price should come into play next week and it will almost certainly incorporate a rise of 2/tonne.

While imported granular urea sales have been brisk, sales of imported ammonium nitrate are not widely mentioned, apart from the de-stocking “sale” of older material previously reported.

But sales of domestic AN have been very good, ahead of last year, indicating confidence that prices will rise, and possibly increased volume for the season.

Grassland NPKs are selling steadily, picking up on the disastrous end of the last fertiliser season, which runs from July to June each year.

New prices for this compound sector are not expected until October.

The autumn PK market is becoming busier, but is said to be more spread out than usual.

It could be that more farmers are turning towards spring applied NPK, a trend encouraged by both Kemira and Hydro with “M24” and “Incrop” products, or growers may be taking a PK “holiday”.

0.24.24 has been trading as low as 108/t on farm, but the trend is upwards as blenders strive to achieve a reasonable margin.

Expect to pay around 112/t from now on, and add 10/t for five units of nitrogen.


CURRENT PRICES


















New-season nitrogen (SP5) 34.5%

September domestic nitrogen

Imported urea

Imported AN

Blended 20.10.10 and 25.0.16

Blended 25.5.5
Liquid nitrogen, 37kg/100l or 29.6% N/t


August 110-112


112-114


Granular 115-120

88 ex-dock
94-98 delivered

113-115

107-113

120



















NPK

August, pay cash

NS products

Complex 25.5.5

112-118

110-112

15.15.20

No market


20.10.10/29.5.5

118-120


17.17.17

No market













After-cut NK cash

0.24.24

TSP (47% P2O5) bagged

Muriate of Potash (60% K2O) bagged

118

112-114

125

122

 

IRELAND

Forecast prices
















 
Urea

CAN


24.6.12


0.16.36


Complex compounds
27.6.6


Northern Ireland

No market

110

130-135

No market

130















 

CAN


24.21/2.10


Urea, imported


27.21/2.5


Republic of Ireland*

140-145

175

No market

170-175

*Note in the Republic of Ireland nutrients are expressed as elements not oxides. Analyses will not be directly comparable with those used in the UK.

*Prices in the Republic are IR

  • IR1=UK80.19p; US$1=UK69.34p on 24 August

     

    Note All illustrated prices are based on 24-tonne loads for immediate payment. Prices for smaller loads and those with credit terms will vary considerably.

    Source: Bridgewater Partnership

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