Waterlogged fields deadlock fertiliser market
By Roger Chesher
IT is quite clear now that, this spring, fertiliser orders will only be placed by farmers on a just-in-time, point-of-usage, basis.
Movement started to pick up to a level about 50% of that expected, even to farms in areas affected by foot-and-mouth, only to slow down again as late snowfalls moved across the country, followed by wet weather once again preventing spreading.
Water tables are so high that one heavy fall of rain will cause waterlogging.
It has, in any event, been a late spring this year as indicated by T°-Sum, which has arrived later in many areas than in recent years.
It is possible that in some areas a first, early, application has now been missed altogether but, at this stage, any negative influence on volume in the spring market is still thought to be small.
Manufacturers are sitting tight, anticipating late movement, and not altering prices.
At the same time, importers seem to be backing off the market at the moment, as they experience concern over movement.
Production is still reduced at Kemira, Terra is reportedly only building stocks very slowly and both will be looking at alternative markets. Hydro will not need to import material until it can be moved.
Grassland farmers are still purchasing feed in large quantities and merchants express concern over farm cash flow.
At dairy-farm level, there is very little interest in fertiliser this week.
CURRENT PRICES
New-season nitrogen (SP5) 34.5% | Anticipated spring price nitrogen | Imported urea (if available) | Imported AN (new season) |
Blended 20.10.10 and 25.0.16 | Blended 25.5.5 | Liquid nitrogen, 37kg/100l or 29.6% N/t |
March 134 | April 134 | Granular 144 Prilled 132 | March 125 |
124-126 | 121-123 | 140 |
NPK | March, pay cash | April, pay cash (forecast) |
Complex 25.5.5 | 132 | 132 |
27N30S | 138 | |
20.10.10/29.5.5 | 135 | 135 |
17.17.17 | 151 | 151 |
After-cut NK cash | 0.24.24 | TSP (47% P2O5) bagged | Muriate of Potash (60% K2O) bagged |
No market | 114-116 | 135-140 | 115-118 |
IRELAND CAN 24.6.12 0.16.36 Complex compounds
Urea
27.6.6
Northern Ireland
Domestic prilled 150
Imported 140+
122+
155
No market
153-155
CAN | 24.21/2.10 | Urea, imported | 27.21/2.5 | |
Republic of Ireland* | 145-155 | 190-193 | 190 | 187-190 |
*Note in the Republic of Ireland nutrients are expressed as elements not oxides. Analyses will not be directly comparable with those used in the UK.
*Prices in the Republic are IR
Note All illustrated prices are based on 20-tonne loads for immediate payment. Prices for smaller loads and those with credit terms will vary considerably.
Source: Bridgewater Partnership