Weather knock-on caused milk shortage
By FWi staff
POOR weather leading to poor-quality forage was the main reason for the estimated 3% drop in milk production this year, according to agent Webb Paton.
“The weather is the biggest influence on milk yield, followed by fodder quality,” says Webb Patons George Webb.
“We have never experienced these conditions before, and it was not just the grass that suffered but maize as well.”
Their conclusions are in contrast to a recent report from Andersons, which pinpointed a sharp reduction in cow numbers for the UKs milk shortage.
“Cow numbers are down, but cow servings are up. Whilst this wont increase numbers over night, many producers are already expanding herd size,” says Mr Paton.
“We asked farmers whether their cows could produce at least 3% more milk, and the majority gave a positive answer.
“With an incentive in improved milk prices, and better weather and forage quality, this would suggest there is a possibility of the UK being in an over quota position next year.”
Philip Hudson, NFU milk adviser, says it is a combination of issues that has led to the shortfall.
“Weather is always going to be a key influence as is cow numbers, but there are other factors to consider.
“Three years of poor returns and the shock of low prices have meant the industry has not been able to adapt quickly enough, and many have gone out of business.
“Last autumns price rise was immediately absorbed in increased costs.
“It remains to be seen whether the expected rise next milk year will be sufficient for farmers to stay in production, and more importantly for them to be making a profit.”
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